« ProjectClass Standards »

Thursday

  12/12/18 15:20, by John

BASIC:

Attending students must amend {if necessary} and approve {required} the Student Evaluation Standards by signing a printed document. {It would be nice to realize another student, besides Dylan, would make this document available for the class to sign}.

I will not attend this section.

Preparation: Have read and commented on the document and needed changes.

SECTION ONE: Polling at Work

PREPARATION:

1. Here is a link to a grading of pollsters. Check out why, who, and how this grading process works.

2. Here is a link to a top rated poll from a top rated polling site.

a. Find some interesting tidbits from the data.

b. Check out the "methodology" link. Bring something of interest to the discussion from this description.

Unfortunately (learning from experience) if those who plan on attending this section DO NOT post some (or all) of their preparation, I will need to administer another room clearing comprehension quiz.

3. Optional -- play around and post links of other interesting polls and polling sites -- particularly, look for statements of methodology of how polls do (or do not) look to eliminate errors in their sampled data. (here's a survey of Kansas voters before 2016 presidential and here's Minnesota; here's a fun site YouGov with hundreds of polls)like this one on this year's holiday spending or even funnier here's one on embarrassing parents.

SECTION TWO: Excel Practice

I'll make another practice sheet to augment Monday's practice sheet -- I will not be able to do this until 7:30 PM Wednesday night.

SECTION THREE: Basic correlation for basic predictions....

Simple correlation to create a simpler algorithm for predicting hockey games (why not) -- I'll create a correlation of statistics too wins and you chose how to use this information to have a machine predict the outcome of hockey teams.

Here's a Google Sheet with this organized data -- look at the top of the chart on DATA SORT page for correlations .

Preparation: Examine the correlated data and write down a brief outline of how you would use this information to say which hockey team will do better in the next few weeks.

SECTION FOUR:

Five Platonic solids -- Origami!  Anybody interested let's meet for a few minutes to discuss strategy.

Preparation: Create  this tetrahedron) -- the modules help if we want to build more of the solids....

16 comments

Comment from: [Member]

I will be attending sections two, three, and four (in addition to the (basic section).

Preparation for basic section:

I have commented on my post with the standards.

Preparation for section 2:

I will work more with Monday’s practice. I will also practice with the sheet that John will be posting later.

Preparation for section 3:

I will find some data and work to organize it in sheets like we learned on Monday.

Preparation for section 4:

I created the origami tetrahedron skeleton and I just made an octagon as well.

12/12/18 @ 18:09
Comment from: [Member]

I will be in class tomorrow.

I will be attending the basic section. I have commented on Dylan’s post of the class standards.

I will sign the paper in class tomorrow.

For the middle part of class I will work more on my project/projects having to do with Pascal’s Triangle.

I will also be attending section 4 and I have made and assembled (with the help of some tape :P) a tetrahedral triangle skeleton. I will also make a tetrahedron and bring that to class tomorrow as well.

12/12/18 @ 19:32
Comment from: [Member]

I will be attending the basic section.
I have a plan form projets, and maybe if there is time I could run it by the class tomorrow.

12/12/18 @ 20:09
Comment from: [Member]

Thanks John! I will be attending the basic section as well as section 4. I havE commented on Dylan’s post and will sign in class. I will attend class 4 with the best tetrahedron I could make:)

For the rest of class I will be reading wisdomenof the crowds. How many pages would one have to read in order for one to count it as said project?

12/12/18 @ 20:09
Comment from: [Member]

I will be in class 1 and 2 tomorrow, as well, of course, as the basic section, in which I will sign my name. Otherwise I will be working on my google trends comparing project.

I understand very little of how the grading of pollsters works. Why are there so many categories affecting success rate? What do the advanced (and/vs) predictive values mean? Why do the ‘races called correctly’ not directly affect the success rate of the pols? What is the 538 grade? Why are some pols banned by 538?

I found the survey USA very interesting to look at. There are so many categorized answer percentages that seem not to fit in the pattern of other answers. Why are the black category answers stared out (except for ‘total’ and ‘compositions of adults’- receptively 100 and 5 percent )?

12/12/18 @ 20:27
Comment from: [Member]

Thank you john! I will be attending the basic section and the the last 2-3 sections. I am currently trying to make a sheet that will roll dice for me.

12/12/18 @ 20:38
Comment from: [Member]

I will be in the Basic Section as well as sections 2 and 3.
For section 2, where will be the new exercise sheet? On the sheet? I’ll go check now.

For the standards document, I think I can make copies for the class to sign if no one is doing that yet. Please let me know soon so I know if I should.

12/12/18 @ 20:43
Comment from: [Member]

Thank you John! I will be in the basic section of class, as well as section 3. I will also visit Dylan’s post, and I will sign the paper in class tomorrow.

12/12/18 @ 20:51
Comment from: [Member]

Thanks Isaac, that would be great!

12/12/18 @ 20:54
Comment from: [Member]

Thank you John, I will be attending section 1 along with the basic section.

1. I found it a little hard to interpret how the grading pollsters work. How does a mean diverted bias work ? Most universities seem to be the pollsters, what students particularly? Simple average error seems to be a problem for most of the pollsters (Makes sense).538 election forecasting are not accepted models because they know or suspect that it has faked polling results.
2. The USA survey was a great example. I was surprised at many of the results and the polling questions covered a variety of immigration issues. Some answers were shocking but some seems to follow a similar pattern. White Republicans over the age of 55? The answers for this group were somewhat what I predicted for example.

12/12/18 @ 20:54
Comment from: [Member]

For tomorrow I will be in the Basic and section 2. I am really enjoying excel so far.

12/12/18 @ 21:05
Comment from: [Member]

I will be in class tomorrow.

I will be attending the Basic section and also Section 1. Since we were going to do the Polling At Work section on Monday I have posted my preparations such as, findings and things that I found interesting from reading the different articles on Monday’s post.

For the time that I am not in class I will be rolling dice and hopefully making predictions on a game of Monopoly.

12/12/18 @ 21:35
Comment from: [Member]

I will go to the basic section.
The rest of the class I will be working on projects.

12/12/18 @ 21:41
Comment from: [Member]

I’m really looking forward to attending Section one-the polls were interesting to analyze. I’m also going to attend the Basic section as well.

I read a long article on the 538 website describing how they collect their polls and what errors could occur and how they could occur. Also, bias has a tremendous effect on how polls turn out. I noticed that a good number of the polls that had a relatively low sample size were graded poorly on the 538 polling site. Is it better to collect poll data by internet or by phone, that much wasn’t as clear? Or is it better by mail?

On one of the polling graphs, I think that the question was are you going to vote and one of the statements made was “Always do/will do this year". I thought it was interesting that a very high percentage of people stated that because, as many of us know, people say “I’ll do it later” but most likely they won’t. I was wondering how many people actually voted when they said that they would. The numbers would probably differ greatly.

Also, the embarrassing parent graph was hilarious! The top one for me is when my mom shows pictures of me to other people. Ahh!

I won’t be attending the other sections because I haven’t done the preparation for them. Instead, I’ll work on getting together some kind of project that I can apply the Fibonacci sequence to that no one in this class has done before. I will spend time researching and hopefully, I’ll have a project idea formulated by the end of this class time.

Also, the class standard seam reasonable. What I might end up doing is focus on the Fibonacci sequence as a major project that will cover 3 required projects (if that’s alright John) and then do 3 smaller required projects together being the equivalent of 6 required projects. I’ll stick with the same due dates and I’ll try to get the major project done by the second due date I have written down. The other projects will fall on the other set due dates.

Also, I read half of the polling article that I believe was assigned for Monday, but I was wondering if I’m supposed to read the entire thing? And am I still supposed to do the assignments if I didn’t come to class that day?

Am I still able to attend Section 4 even if I didn’t complete the project (crumpled-up mess)? I just want to know how platonic shapes have anything to with probs and stats. I spent 45 minutes trying to make the complicated platonic shape and in the end it wound up in the trash.

12/12/18 @ 21:42
Comment from: [Member]

I will,be in the basic section as well as class 3 tomorrow. I will visit Dylans post amd will sign the paper in class tomorrow. I will work on my very time consuming project for the remainder of class.

12/12/18 @ 22:04
Comment from: [Member]
Cayleigh

I will be in the basic section as well as section one. On mondays post I put my preparations for section one. For the rest of the class time, I will be working on a poll of my own and/or reading more of the black swan.

12/12/18 @ 22:52


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